Saturday's Szczecin semifinal pits Marco Trungelliti against Thiago Monteiro on clay. Marco Trungelliti has won 3 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall. Thiago Monteiro is rolling — 3 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play.

Marco Trungelliti is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Trungelliti around 54%. Trungelliti comes in off a compressed schedule; Monteiro comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Trungelliti is exactly that — a lean.