French Open · F · Clay · best of 3 · May 22, 2026, 1:55 PM UTC

Maria Lourdes Carle vs. Rebecca Sramkova — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · May 22, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

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Rebecca Sramkova won 6-4 5-7 6-2 · May 22, 2026, 4:42 PM UTC

We got this one right. Rebecca Sramkova was our 70% pick, and won 6-4 5-7 6-2.

The French Open title is on the line on Friday, when Maria Lourdes Carle meets Rebecca Sramkova. Rebecca Sramkova has dropped 3 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten. Maria Lourdes Carle comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.

The ledger favors Maria Lourdes Carle, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Rebecca Sramkova. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Carle — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Sramkova has been winning 61.8% of first-serve points to Carle's 58%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. The edge belongs to Sramkova — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Maria Lourdes Carle

1509

Rebecca Sramkova

1591

Overall rating

Maria Lourdes Carle

1511

Rebecca Sramkova

1616

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Maria Lourdes Carle	Rebecca Sramkova
1st serve in	67.5%	60%
1st serve points won	58%	61.8%
2nd serve points won	34.8%	48%

Form

Maria Lourdes Carle

3–7

Rebecca Sramkova

3–7

Head to head

Maria Lourdes Carle leads the head-to-head 1-0. On clay: 1-0 Maria Lourdes Carle.

Full Carle vs Sramkova history →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Maria Lourdes Carle vs Rebecca Sramkova at French Open?: Rebecca Sramkova won 6-4 5-7 6-2.
Was the Maria Lourdes Carle vs Rebecca Sramkova prediction correct?: We got this one right. Rebecca Sramkova was our 70% pick, and won 6-4 5-7 6-2.
What is the head-to-head record between Maria Lourdes Carle and Rebecca Sramkova?: Maria Lourdes Carle leads the head-to-head 1-0. On clay: 1-0 Maria Lourdes Carle.