Maria Sakkari and Yulia Putintseva meet in the round of 32 at Tokyo on Tuesday. Maria Sakkari is 6-4 across recent matches. Yulia Putintseva has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Sakkari has been winning 65% of first-serve points to Putintseva's 60%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Sakkari is exactly that — a lean.