Naomi Osaka won 6-3 3-6 6-3
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 64% on Naomi Osaka, who won 6-3 3-6 6-3.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Maria Timofeeva goes up against Naomi Osaka in the Beijing round of 64. Naomi Osaka has won 7 of the last 10. Maria Timofeeva has won 6 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall.
Hold strength tells the story — 71.2% versus 60.6% on first-serve points in Osaka's favor. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Osaka.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Maria Timofeeva | Naomi Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 67.2% | 58.5% |
| 1st serve points won | 60.6% | 71.2% |
| 2nd serve points won | 47.5% | 46.4% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.