Maria Timofeeva and Shuai Zhang meet in the round of 32 at Monterrey on Tuesday. Shuai Zhang comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Maria Timofeeva is 7-3 across recent matches.

Shuai Zhang is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Zhang around 61%. Zhang should have enough here, though Timofeeva has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.