Tuesday's Hong Kong round of 32 pits Maria Timofeeva against Sorana Cirstea on hard. Sorana Cirstea has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten. Maria Timofeeva has won 7 of the last 10.

Sorana Cirstea simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Cirstea gets the nod on the finest of margins.