Maria Timofeeva and Teodora Kostovic meet in the round of 32 at Guangzhou on Monday. Maria Timofeeva has won 8 of the last 10. Teodora Kostovic is 4-6 across recent matches.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Timofeeva.