Pablo Carreno Busta won 4-6 7-5 6-3
Missed it. We had Mariano Navone at 53%, but Pablo Carreno Busta won 4-6 7-5 6-3.
Thursday's Shanghai first round pits Mariano Navone against Pablo Carreno Busta on hard. Mariano Navone limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Pablo Carreno Busta is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (3 of the last 10).
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Navone is exactly that — a lean.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Mariano Navone | Pablo Carreno Busta |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 68.3% | 65.4% |
| 1st serve points won | 62.6% | 68.2% |
| 2nd serve points won | 50.6% | 49.7% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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