Thursday's Cincinnati first round pits Mariano Navone against Raphael Collignon on hard. Raphael Collignon has dropped 3 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Mariano Navone is 4-6 across recent matches.
The serve is where this match separates: Collignon has been winning 72.8% of first-serve points to Navone's 62.4%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. The edge belongs to Collignon — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.