US Open · R32 · Hard · best of 5 · Sep 4, 2026, 9:40 PM UTC
Mariano Navone vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · September 4, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
Share result
Result
✗ Pick wrong
Tomas Martin Etcheverry won 6-4 6-4 6-3
Missed it. We had Mariano Navone at 50%, but Tomas Martin Etcheverry won 6-4 6-4 6-3.
Mariano Navone and Tomas Martin Etcheverry meet in the round of 32 at US Open on Friday. Mariano Navone is 6-4 across recent matches. Tomas Martin Etcheverry has won 4 of the last 10.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Navone fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Mariano Navone
1827
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
1806
Overall rating
Mariano Navone
1902
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
1845
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Mariano Navone
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
1st serve in
68.3%
64.7%
1st serve points won
62.6%
71.2%
2nd serve points won
50.3%
51%
Form
Mariano Navone
6–4
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
4–6
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Mariano Navone vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry at US Open?
Tomas Martin Etcheverry won 6-4 6-4 6-3.
Was the Mariano Navone vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry prediction correct?
Missed it. We had Mariano Navone at 50%, but Tomas Martin Etcheverry won 6-4 6-4 6-3.