Friday's French Open round of 32 pits Marie Bouzkova against Mirra Andreeva on clay. Mirra Andreeva is rolling — 10 straight wins, 10 of 10 in recent play. Marie Bouzkova is 5-5 across recent matches.
The ledger favors Mirra Andreeva, 5-0 across their 5 meetings with Marie Bouzkova. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Andreeva — worth more than the overall number this week.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Andreeva.