A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Mark Lajal goes up against Pablo Llamas Ruiz in the Bloomfield Hills round of 16. Mark Lajal is 6-4 across recent matches. Pablo Llamas Ruiz is 5-5 across recent matches.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
Lajal's 74.2% behind the first serve (against 65.9% for Ruiz) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Lajal comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Lajal fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Mark Lajal | Pablo Llamas Ruiz |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 61.2% | 70.2% |
| 1st serve points won | 74.2% | 65.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48.6% | 51.2% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksTomorrow's card, before the first ball
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.