Marta Kostyuk and Sofia Kenin meet in the round of 64 at Cincinnati on Sunday. Marta Kostyuk is 7-3 across recent matches. Sofia Kenin limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.
Marta Kostyuk is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Kostyuk around 81%. Kenin needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.