A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Martin Landaluce goes up against Stan Wawrinka in the Lyon (France) round of 32. Martin Landaluce brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 5-5 across the last ten. Stan Wawrinka limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 2 wins in 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Landaluce fractionally more likely to land the big points.