Monday's Winston-Salem round of 64 pits Marton Fucsovics against Roman Safiullin on hard. Roman Safiullin is 7-3 across recent matches. Marton Fucsovics is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (2 of the last 10).

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Safiullin is exactly that — a lean.