Matej Dodig and Miguel Damas meet in the round of 16 at Braga on Thursday. Matej Dodig is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (7 of the last 10). Miguel Damas is 3-7 across recent matches.
The serve is where this match separates: Dodig has been winning 70.4% of first-serve points to Damas's 61.2%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Dodig comes in off a compressed schedule; Damas comes in off a compressed schedule. Anything other than a Dodig win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Matej Dodig | Miguel Damas |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 61.3% | 62.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 70.4% | 61.2% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48.1% | 49.7% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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