Cali · R16 · Clay · best of 3 · Oct 22, 2026, 5:20 PM UTC
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · October 22, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
✗ Pick wrong
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida won 7-6 6-4
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 55% on Nicolas Jarry; Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida won 7-6 6-4.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida goes up against Nicolas Jarry in the Cali round of 16. Nicolas Jarry is 4-6 across recent matches. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has won 5 of the last 10.
Hold strength tells the story — 74.5% versus 64.7% on first-serve points in Jarry's favor. Almeida comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Jarry is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Clay rating
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
1730
Nicolas Jarry
1678
Overall rating
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
1688
Nicolas Jarry
1702
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Nicolas Jarry
1st serve in
63.3%
64.4%
1st serve points won
64.7%
74.5%
2nd serve points won
49.1%
51.8%
Form
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
5–5
Nicolas Jarry
4–6
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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