Cali · F · Clay · best of 3 · Oct 25, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Valerio Aboian — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · October 25, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida won 7-6 6-3
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 69% on Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, who won 7-6 6-3.
It all comes down to Sunday at Cali, where Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida faces Valerio Aboian for the trophy. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida is rolling — 4 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play. Valerio Aboian has won 4 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall.
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Almeida comes in off a compressed schedule; Aboian comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Almeida — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Clay rating
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
1730
Valerio Aboian
1627
Overall rating
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
1688
Valerio Aboian
1621
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Valerio Aboian
1st serve in
63.2%
57.8%
1st serve points won
65%
64.6%
2nd serve points won
49.4%
47.9%
Form
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
8–2
Valerio Aboian
6–4
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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