French Open · R32 · Clay · best of 5 · May 30, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC

Matteo Arnaldi vs. Raphael Collignon — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · May 30, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Matteo Arnaldi won 6-4 6-7 5-7 6-4 7-6 · May 30, 2026, 10:10 PM UTC

Graded: incorrect. We had Raphael Collignon at 63%, but Matteo Arnaldi won 6-4 6-7 5-7 6-4 7-6. This one goes in the ledger — every miss stays on the record.

Matteo Arnaldi and Raphael Collignon meet in the round of 32 at French Open on Saturday. Raphael Collignon has won 6 of the last 10. Matteo Arnaldi has won 7 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall.

Matteo Arnaldi leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Arnaldi — worth more than the overall number this week.

Collignon's 73.8% behind the first serve (against 69.7% for Arnaldi) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Collignon.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Matteo Arnaldi

1829

Raphael Collignon

1595

Overall rating

Matteo Arnaldi

1776

Raphael Collignon

1836

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Matteo Arnaldi	Raphael Collignon
1st serve in	58.1%	64.6%
1st serve points won	69.7%	73.8%
2nd serve points won	50.4%	44.1%

Form

Matteo Arnaldi

9–1

Raphael Collignon

6–4

Head to head

Matteo Arnaldi leads the head-to-head 1-0. On clay: 1-0 Matteo Arnaldi.

Full Arnaldi vs Collignon history →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon at French Open?: Matteo Arnaldi won 6-4 6-7 5-7 6-4 7-6.
Was the Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon prediction correct?: Graded: incorrect. We had Raphael Collignon at 63%, but Matteo Arnaldi won 6-4 6-7 5-7 6-4 7-6. This one goes in the ledger — every miss stays on the record.
What is the head-to-head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Raphael Collignon?: Matteo Arnaldi leads the head-to-head 1-0. On clay: 1-0 Matteo Arnaldi.