French Open · R64 · Clay · best of 5 · May 28, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC

Matteo Arnaldi vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · May 28, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Matteo Arnaldi won 7-6 5-7 6-3 6-2 · May 28, 2026, 11:41 PM UTC

A miss: Stefanos Tsitsipas at 96% lost to Matteo Arnaldi (7-6 5-7 6-3 6-2). It counts against our record like every other miss.

Matteo Arnaldi and Stefanos Tsitsipas meet in the round of 64 at French Open on Thursday. Stefanos Tsitsipas has won 5 of the last 10. Matteo Arnaldi is rolling — 6 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play.

Nothing separates them historically — the head-to-head sits at 1-1. On clay they're dead even at 1-1 — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Tsitsipas has been winning 74.8% of first-serve points to Arnaldi's 69.7%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Arnaldi needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Matteo Arnaldi

1829

Stefanos Tsitsipas

1862

Overall rating

Matteo Arnaldi

1776

Stefanos Tsitsipas

1813

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Matteo Arnaldi	Stefanos Tsitsipas
1st serve in	58.1%	62.4%
1st serve points won	69.7%	74.8%
2nd serve points won	50.4%	52.8%

Form

Matteo Arnaldi

8–2

Stefanos Tsitsipas

5–5

Head to head

The head-to-head is level at 1-1. On clay: level at 1-1.

Full Arnaldi vs Tsitsipas history →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas at French Open?: Matteo Arnaldi won 7-6 5-7 6-3 6-2.
Was the Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas prediction correct?: A miss: Stefanos Tsitsipas at 96% lost to Matteo Arnaldi (7-6 5-7 6-3 6-2). It counts against our record like every other miss.
What is the head-to-head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Stefanos Tsitsipas?: The head-to-head is level at 1-1. On clay: level at 1-1.