Tuesday's French Open first round pits Matteo Arnaldi against Tallon Griekspoor on clay. Tallon Griekspoor limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Matteo Arnaldi is rolling — 5 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play.
The ledger favors Matteo Arnaldi, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Tallon Griekspoor. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Arnaldi — worth more than the overall number this week.
The serve is where this match separates: Griekspoor has been winning 73.3% of first-serve points to Arnaldi's 69.7%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. If Griekspoor plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.