Matteo Berrettini won 7-6 7-6 6-0
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 61% on Matteo Berrettini, who won 7-6 7-6 6-0.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Matteo Berrettini goes up against Stan Wawrinka in the US Open first round. Matteo Berrettini is 7-3 across recent matches. Stan Wawrinka has won 2 of the last 10.
Matteo Berrettini is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Berrettini around 61%. Berrettini should have enough here, though Wawrinka has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Matteo Berrettini | Stan Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 64.1% | 58.3% |
| 1st serve points won | 76.1% | 73.6% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51.7% | 52.9% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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