Matteo Berrettini won 3-6 6-1 6-4
We got this one right. Matteo Berrettini was our 64% pick, and won 3-6 6-1 6-4.
Friday's Cincinnati first round pits Matteo Berrettini against Titouan Droguet on hard. Matteo Berrettini limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Titouan Droguet comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
Berrettini's 76.1% behind the first serve (against 71.9% for Droguet) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. The edge belongs to Berrettini — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Matteo Berrettini | Titouan Droguet |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 64.1% | 58.6% |
| 1st serve points won | 76.1% | 71.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51.7% | 50.4% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.