Vienna · R32 · Hard · best of 3 · Oct 26, 2026, 12:40 PM UTC
Matteo Berrettini vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · October 26, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Matteo Berrettini won 6-3 6-4
Nailed it. We had Matteo Berrettini at 64% before the match, and Matteo Berrettini won 6-3 6-4.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Matteo Berrettini goes up against Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the Vienna round of 32. Matteo Berrettini comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Tomas Martin Etcheverry has dropped 5 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.
Berrettini's 76.2% behind the first serve (against 71.2% for Etcheverry) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Berrettini.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Matteo Berrettini
1870
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
1718
Overall rating
Matteo Berrettini
1895
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
1770
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Matteo Berrettini
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
1st serve in
63.9%
64.7%
1st serve points won
76.2%
71.2%
2nd serve points won
51.8%
51%
Form
Matteo Berrettini
4–6
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
3–7
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Matteo Berrettini vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry at Vienna?
Matteo Berrettini won 6-3 6-4.
Was the Matteo Berrettini vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry prediction correct?
Nailed it. We had Matteo Berrettini at 64% before the match, and Matteo Berrettini won 6-3 6-4.