Mattia Bellucci and Taylor Fritz meet in the quarterfinal at Stuttgart on Friday. Taylor Fritz comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Mattia Bellucci comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
Taylor Fritz is clearly higher-rated on grass — our number puts Fritz around 75%. Fritz comes in off a compressed schedule. If Fritz plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.