Mattia Bellucci and Taylor Fritz meet in the quarterfinal at Stuttgart on Friday. Taylor Fritz comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Mattia Bellucci comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
Taylor Fritz is clearly higher-rated on grass — our number puts Fritz around 75%. Fritz comes in off a compressed schedule. If Fritz plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Mattia Bellucci | Taylor Fritz |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 60.5% | 61.1% |
| 1st serve points won | 71.7% | 74.6% |
| 2nd serve points won | 50% | 51.8% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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