Thursday's US Open round of 64 pits Mattia Bellucci against Taylor Fritz on hard. Taylor Fritz comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Mattia Bellucci has won 4 of the last 10.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Hold strength tells the story — 74.6% versus 71.3% on first-serve points in Fritz's favor. If Fritz plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.