Wednesday's Shanghai first round pits Mattia Bellucci against Yi Zhou on hard. Mattia Bellucci comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Yi Zhou is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (4 of the last 10).

Mattia Bellucci simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Bellucci should have enough here, though Zhou has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.