A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Mattia Bellucci goes up against Zachary Svajda in the Cincinnati first round. Mattia Bellucci has dropped 3 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Zachary Svajda limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10.

Mattia Bellucci is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Bellucci around 51%. Little separates them; Bellucci gets the nod on the finest of margins.