Michele Ribecai won 3-6 6-3 6-0
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 63% on Max Houkes; Michele Ribecai won 3-6 6-3 6-0.
Thursday's Florence (Italy) round of 16 pits Max Houkes against Michele Ribecai on clay. Max Houkes has won 4 of the last 10. Michele Ribecai has dropped 3 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.
Houkes's 68.3% behind the first serve (against 62.6% for Ribecai) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Houkes.
Clay rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Max Houkes | Michele Ribecai |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.2% | 59.3% |
| 1st serve points won | 68.3% | 62.6% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48.7% | 50.9% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.