A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Max Houkes goes up against Vilius Gaubas in the Hagen round of 32. Vilius Gaubas is 4-6 across recent matches. Max Houkes has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Gaubas is exactly that — a lean.