Tuesday's Tokyo round of 32 pits Maya Joint against Sorana Cirstea on hard. Sorana Cirstea is 5-5 across recent matches. Maya Joint has dropped 3 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 62.9% versus 59.3% on first-serve points in Cirstea's favor. Joint needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.