Tuesday's Bratislava 2 round of 32 pits Michael Vrbensky against Mika Brunold on hard. Mika Brunold has won 8 of the last 10. Michael Vrbensky has won 3 of the last 10.

Mika Brunold is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Brunold around 76%. Anything other than a Brunold win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.