Michele Ribecai and Zdenek Kolar meet in the round of 16 at Palermo (Italy) on Wednesday. Zdenek Kolar is 4-6 across recent matches. Michele Ribecai has dropped 3 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.

Zdenek Kolar simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Ribecai comes in off a compressed schedule; Kolar comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Kolar fractionally more likely to land the big points.