A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Miomir Kecmanovic goes up against Sho Shimabukuro in the Shanghai first round. Miomir Kecmanovic is 4-6 across recent matches. Sho Shimabukuro is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (2 of the last 10).

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Kecmanovic is exactly that — a lean.