A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Mirra Andreeva goes up against Yue Yuan in the Beijing round of 64. Mirra Andreeva has won 7 of the last 10. Yue Yuan has won 4 of the last 10.

Mirra Andreeva simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Yuan needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.