Moez Echargui and Raul Brancaccio meet in the round of 32 at Villena on Monday. Moez Echargui has won 5 of the last 10. Raul Brancaccio is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (4 of the last 10).

The serve is where this match separates: Echargui has been winning 69.3% of first-serve points to Brancaccio's 66.3%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Echargui is exactly that — a lean.