Monday's Charlottesville round of 32 pits Murphy Cassone against Nicolas Mejia on hard. Murphy Cassone comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Nicolas Mejia has won 4 of the last 10.

Murphy Cassone is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Cassone around 60%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Cassone fractionally more likely to land the big points.