Santa Cruz 2 · QF · Clay · best of 3 · Oct 16, 2026, 10:15 PM UTC
Nicolas Kicker vs Thiago Seyboth Wild — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · October 16, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Nicolas Kicker and Thiago Seyboth Wild meet in the quarterfinal at Santa Cruz 2 on Friday. Thiago Seyboth Wild has won 9 of the last 10. Nicolas Kicker is 7-3 across recent matches.
Hold strength tells the story — 69% versus 64.1% on first-serve points in Wild's favor. Kicker comes in off a compressed schedule. Kicker needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-311(75.7% Wild)
Market-461(82.2% Wild)
Sources: Market price (via our tennis data provider). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Clay rating
Nicolas Kicker
1571
Thiago Seyboth Wild
1765
Overall rating
Nicolas Kicker
1567
Thiago Seyboth Wild
1750
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Nicolas Kicker
Thiago Seyboth Wild
1st serve in
65.3%
63.2%
1st serve points won
64.1%
69%
2nd serve points won
50.5%
49.8%
Form
Nicolas Kicker
7–3
Thiago Seyboth Wild
9–1
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Who is predicted to win Nicolas Kicker vs Thiago Seyboth Wild?
Maiden gives Thiago Seyboth Wild a 76% chance to beat Nicolas Kicker in the Santa Cruz 2 quarterfinal on October 16, 2026.
How confident is the Thiago Seyboth Wild pick?
76% is a “Strong” tier pick. When we make a pick around 76%, picks in that range have won 75% of the time (105 so far). See the track record page for the full table.