Who is predicted to win Nicolas Mejia vs Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna?

Maiden gives Nicolas Mejia a 53% chance to beat Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna in the Bogota round of 16 on July 9, 2026.

How confident is the Nicolas Mejia pick?

53% is a “Lean” tier pick. When we make a pick around 53%, picks in that range have won 60% of the time (166 so far). See the track record page for the full table.

Maiden.bet

Bogota · R16 · Clay · best of 3 · Jul 9, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC

Nicolas Mejia vs. Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna — preview and prediction

By The Maiden Desk · July 9, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Maiden's pick: Mejia (53%) over Taverna.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Nicolas Mejia goes up against Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna in the Bogota round of 16. Nicolas Mejia has won 3 of the last 10. Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna is 7-3 across recent matches.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Nicolas Mejia simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Mejia gets the nod on the finest of margins.

The numbers behind the pick

Win probability & fair price

Maiden -111 (52.7% Mejia)

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Nicolas Mejia

1659

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna

1543

Overall rating

Nicolas Mejia

1572

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna

1522

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Nicolas Mejia	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna
1st serve in	60.4%	61%
1st serve points won	68.6%	67.4%
2nd serve points won	48.5%	50.5%

Form

Nicolas Mejia

3–7

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna

7–3

Head to head

The head-to-head is level at 0-0.

Full Mejia vs Taverna history →

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Nicolas Mejia vs Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna?: Maiden gives Nicolas Mejia a 53% chance to beat Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna in the Bogota round of 16 on July 9, 2026.
How confident is the Nicolas Mejia pick?: 53% is a “Lean” tier pick. When we make a pick around 53%, picks in that range have won 60% of the time (166 so far). See the track record page for the full table.
What is the head-to-head record between Nicolas Mejia and Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna?: The head-to-head is level at 0-0.

Mejia chance to win	53%
Fair price (the odds our % works out to)	-111
Most likely score	2-0 (28%) · Could go long
Desk record on clay this season	57% over 286 matches
Our picks at 50-55% confidence	100-66 (60%)