Nikola Bartunkova and Sorana Cirstea meet in the round of 64 at Cincinnati on Saturday. Sorana Cirstea limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Nikola Bartunkova has won 6 of the last 10.

Sorana Cirstea is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Cirstea around 64%. Bartunkova comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Cirstea.