A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Novak Djokovic goes up against Nuno Borges in the Beijing round of 32. Novak Djokovic has dropped 3 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten. Nuno Borges has won 7 of the last 10.

Novak Djokovic is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Djokovic around 66%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Djokovic.