Novak Djokovic and Roman Safiullin meet in the round of 16 at Wimbledon on Sunday. Novak Djokovic has won 5 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall. Roman Safiullin brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten.

The ledger favors Novak Djokovic, 3-0 across their 3 meetings with Roman Safiullin.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on grass, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Djokovic is exactly that — a lean.