● Live
The live win probability is Pro.
Our number for this match, updated the moment each set is complete, with the pre-match number beside it so you can see how far it has moved.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Novak Djokovic goes up against Y. Bu in the Beijing round of 16. Novak Djokovic comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Y. Bu is 7-3 across recent matches.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. If Djokovic plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.
Sources: Market price (via our tennis data provider). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Novak Djokovic | Y. Bu |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 65.9% | 57.2% |
| 1st serve points won | 70.6% | 72% |
| 2nd serve points won | 53.4% | 50.7% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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