Sunday's French Open first round pits Nuno Borges against Tomas Martin Etcheverry on clay. Tomas Martin Etcheverry is 6-4 across recent matches. Nuno Borges is 4-6 across recent matches.

Nuno Borges leads the head-to-head 3-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Borges — worth more than the overall number this week.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Etcheverry is exactly that — a lean.