Wednesday's Biella round of 16 pits Oriol Roca Batalla against Stefano Napolitano on clay. Stefano Napolitano is 6-4 across recent matches. Oriol Roca Batalla is 4-6 across recent matches.

Stefano Napolitano is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Napolitano around 61%. Batalla comes in off a compressed schedule; Napolitano comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Napolitano — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.