Thursday's San Marino round of 16 pits Otto Virtanen against Timofey Skatov on clay. Otto Virtanen has won 7 of the last 10. Timofey Skatov is 5-5 across recent matches.

Hold strength tells the story — 75.1% versus 66.3% on first-serve points in Virtanen's favor. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Virtanen.