Monday's Guangzhou round of 32 pits Panna Udvardy against Sinja Kraus on hard. Sinja Kraus has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten. Panna Udvardy limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Kraus is exactly that — a lean.