Bastad · F · Clay · best of 3 · Jul 11, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

Paula Badosa vs. Simona Waltert — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · July 11, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

✓ Pick right

Paula Badosa won 7-5 7-5 · Jul 11, 2026, 2:20 PM UTC

We got this one right. Paula Badosa was our 52% pick, and won 7-5 7-5.

Saturday brings the Bastad final: Paula Badosa against Simona Waltert. Paula Badosa brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten. Simona Waltert is rolling — 4 straight wins, 5 of 10 in recent play.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

Hold strength tells the story — 65.2% versus 59.3% on first-serve points in Badosa's favor. Badosa comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Badosa is exactly that — a lean.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Paula Badosa

1782

Simona Waltert

1709

Overall rating

Paula Badosa

1786

Simona Waltert

1714

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Paula Badosa	Simona Waltert
1st serve in	60.3%	64.8%
1st serve points won	65.2%	59.3%
2nd serve points won	44.9%	43.2%

Form

Paula Badosa

6–4

Simona Waltert

5–5

Head to head

The head-to-head is level at 0-0.

Full Badosa vs Waltert history →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Paula Badosa vs Simona Waltert at Bastad?: Paula Badosa won 7-5 7-5.
Was the Paula Badosa vs Simona Waltert prediction correct?: We got this one right. Paula Badosa was our 52% pick, and won 7-5 7-5.
What is the head-to-head record between Paula Badosa and Simona Waltert?: The head-to-head is level at 0-0.