Thursday's Bastad quarterfinal pits Paula Badosa against Varvara Lepchenko on clay. Paula Badosa is 4-6 across recent matches. Varvara Lepchenko comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
The ledger favors Varvara Lepchenko, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Paula Badosa.
Hold strength tells the story — 65.2% versus 60.6% on first-serve points in Badosa's favor. Badosa comes in off a compressed schedule; Lepchenko comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Badosa gets the nod on the finest of margins.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Paula Badosa | Varvara Lepchenko |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 60.3% | 67.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 65.2% | 60.6% |
| 2nd serve points won | 44.9% | 45.1% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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