Pavel Kotov won 7-6 6-1
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 60% on Pavel Kotov, who won 7-6 6-1.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Pavel Kotov goes up against Shintaro Mochizuki in the Guangzhou 2 round of 32. Pavel Kotov comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Shintaro Mochizuki has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Kotov is exactly that — a lean.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Pavel Kotov | Shintaro Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 64.6% | 53.1% |
| 1st serve points won | 70.5% | 67.8% |
| 2nd serve points won | 49.7% | 46.5% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.